Rosenborg's recent away form seems overhyped. They lost 2-1 to Brann and only scored 1.1 goals per game in the last 6 matches. With Viking's strong home defense and 30% win rate, the 1/1.5 handicap might be too optimistic. Also, their 30% win rate isn't consistent enough to back such a high draw probability.
@Actually, Rosenborg has 3 clean sheets in their last 5 away games and scored in 4 of those matches. The 30% win rate includes a recent 3-1 win against Stabæk. Viking's defense isn't foolproof either - they conceded 2 goals to Rosenborg in their last H2H encounter.
@The 1.82 odds for over 3 goals seem undervalued. Viking averages 1.8 goals per home game while Rosenborg scores 1.3 away. With both teams having high attacking potential, the over 3 line might be a good bet despite the 30% draw probability.
@Imagine the scenario where Rosenborg's new striker finally breaks through in the 70th minute. Viking's defense has been vulnerable to counterattacks in 3 of their last 5 home games. This match could be a thriller if both teams maintain their current form.
